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iPhone 14 release date prediction: When will the next iPhone launch?

Tim Cook
(Image credit: Apple)

We're hearing more and more rumors that Apple is going to hold an iPhone 14 event very soon. In fact it was recently leaked that Apple's event is tipped for the first half of September. 

With that in mind, looking back actually makes it quite easy to predict when Apple might hold its next event, and when the iPhone 14 will be released. 

Nobody reputable has given a solid date for the next iPhone event date or indeed the subsequent release, however general reports indicate that the iPhone 14 is on schedule for the usual September launch window of previous years. 

Purple Iphone 14 Pro Render

(Image credit: Front Page Tech)

Wake me up when September starts

Apple has launched nearly all of its iPhones in September. But when did that start exactly? The first iPhone came out in June, the 3G in July, the 3GS in June, and the iPhone 4 in June. Then Apple switched to fall launches with the iPhone 4S. Subsequent flagship iPhones have all been announced and indeed launched in and around September. That includes the iPhone 5, 5C, 5S, iPhone 6, iPhone 6S, iPhone 7, iPhone 8, iPhone XS, iPhone 11, iPhone 13. 

The only exceptions to this rule are the iPhone X which was announced alongside the iPhone 8 but debuted two months later, and the iPhone XR which came out in October. Finally, the iPhone 12 was delayed by one month because of COVID and was not announced until October. 

Apple's recent iPhone SE was a spring launch, as was the previous model, however, don't let that confuse you, the flagship iPhone is very much a fall event. 

When in September?

If we say September is the month, then we can also assume that the latter half of September, or at the latest the middle, is ideal for a more accurate prediction. Apple's current best iPhone, the iPhone 13 was announced on September 14, with a release the following week.  

More specifically Apple nearly always holds its iPhone keynote events on a Tuesday, this gives people time to pre-order the phone the following Friday, with a launch usually taking place the following week. 

If we apply last year's formula, the iPhone 14 event launch should go something like this:

  • iPhone 14 event invitations - September 6
  • iPhone 14 keynote event - September 13
  • iPhone 14 pre-orders - September 16
  • iPhone 14 release date (available in stores) - September 23

A new challenger appears!

However, since the first publication of this article, new information has emerged that may suggest the iPhone 14 will appear earlier than our initial expectations suggested.

Bloomberg's Mark Gurman, regular Apple commentator with a great track record for accurate insider information on Apple's future plans, has stated that September 7, 2022 launch date for the iPhone 14 is most likely. His report suggests that devices will then hit retail close to a week later, around September 16. 

The event itself would then take the form of an online showcase, rather than being hosted in person at the Steve Jobs theater, as pre-Covid launches traditionally were. Gurman also previously stated that Apple had started recording its iPhone 14 event, again further decreasing the chances of Apple hosting a live demo of its newest smartphone. If our prediction's prove to be wrong, Gurman's track record makes the September 7 date a very strong alternative.

What to expect

Apple's iPhone 14 is expected to debut a new 6.7-inch 'Max' version of the regular iPhone, along with lots of upgrades for the Pros including a new A16 processor, always-on display, a 48MP, and more. 

For a full run down, you can read our full iPhone 14 rundown here

Stephen Warwick
Stephen Warwick

Stephen Warwick has written about Apple for five years at iMore and previously elsewhere. He covers all of iMore's latest breaking news regarding all of Apple's products and services, both hardware and software. Stephen has interviewed industry experts in a range of fields including finance, litigation, security, and more. He also specializes in curating and reviewing audio hardware and has experience beyond journalism in sound engineering, production, and design.

Before becoming a writer Stephen studied Ancient History at University and also worked at Apple for more than two years. Stephen is also a host on the iMore show, a weekly podcast recorded live that discusses the latest in breaking Apple news, as well as featuring fun trivia about all things Apple.